Lyons Tactical Allocation Portolio
Investment Strategy
Capital Preservation in Bear Markets

Strategy Summary

The Lyons Tactical Allocation Portfolio offers an offensefirst, bullish approach to tactical investing that seeks to optimize growth and upside capture. Full equity allocations are maintained longterm, while addressing downside risk with separate and distinct solutions for different levels of market risk. Tactical asset allocation is targeted to risk of conventional bear markets that cause outsize damage to wealth and require years to recover, as we believe large changes to asset allocation should be reserved for severe risk. This results in rare shifts out of equities, providing greater upside and compound growth. For short term periods of market weakness, risk hedging is employed using long index options or directional index ETFs. Our risk hedging serves to buffer volatility, limit downside, and provide greater agility in volatile markets.

Fact Sheet Q3 2023

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Portfolio Details
Inception Date: April 30, 2012
Lipper Category U.S. Tactical Allocation
Account Type Separately Managed Account
Minimum Investment $100,000 USD
Benchmark Lipper Flexible Portfolio Funds Index
Key Objectives
  • Greater upside capture through sustained bull market participation and full equity allocations for longterm, continuous time periods
  • Less whipsaw by making fewer defensive shifts
  • Capital preservation in bear markets
  • Risk hedging against shortterm weakness and whipsaw
  • Alpha potential from active stock selection

More About Tactical Asset Allocation >>

Investing in financial markets can be a daunting task, especially for those who are new to the game. There are numerous investment vehicles available, each with its own set of risks and rewards. Asset allocation is the process of dividing an investment portfolio among different sub-asset classes or categories, such as stocks, bonds, and cash. It is a fundamental investment strategy that can help investors achieve their financial goals while managing risk.

Asset allocation can be broadly classified into three categories: strategic, dynamic, and understand tactical asset allocation. In this guide, we will focus on tactical asset allocation, a strategy that involves adjusting the allocation of assets based on current market conditions.

Tactical asset allocation is gaining popularity among investors as it allows them to take advantage of short-term market opportunities while still adhering to their long-term investment objectives. In this guide, we will provide you with a comprehensive understanding of tactical asset allocation, its advantages and disadvantages for individual investors, and how to implement it effectively.

Let's dive in and explore the world of tactical asset allocation.

What is Tactical Asset Allocation?

Tactical Asset allocation is the process of dividing an investment portfolio among different asset categories, such as stocks, bonds, and cash. The primary goal of asset allocation is to move portfolio returns and achieve an optimal balance between risk and return based on an investor's financial objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon.

There are three primary types of asset allocation: STRATEGIC, DYNAMIC, and TACTICAL.

Strategic Asset Allocation

Strategic asset allocation is a long-term investment strategy that involves creating a diversified portfolio based on an investor's goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon. The portfolio is then rebalanced periodically to maintain the desired allocation to various asset classes of assets.

Dynamic Asset Allocation

Dynamic asset allocation is a strategy that involves adjusting the allocation of assets based on changes in the economy, interest rates, or other market factors. Dynamic asset allocation aims to take advantage of short-term market opportunities while still adhering to an investor's long-term investment objectives.

Tactical Asset Allocation

Tactical asset allocation is a strategy that falls between strategic and dynamic asset allocation. It involves adjusting the allocation of assets based on current market conditions, such as changes in interest rates, economic indicators, or political events. Tactical asset allocation allows investors to take advantage of short-term market opportunities while still adhering to their long-term investment objectives.

Each type of asset allocation has its own set of advantages and disadvantages. Strategic asset allocation provides a stable investment plan that can help investors achieve their long-term goals. Dynamic asset allocation can take advantage of short-term market opportunities but can be risky if the market conditions change quickly.

Tactical asset allocation combines the advantages of both strategic and dynamic asset allocation, providing investors with a flexible investment plan that can adjust to changing market conditions.

In the next section, we will delve deeper into tactical asset allocation and explore its characteristics and advantages.

Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Asset allocation is a crucial aspect of investment planning, and tactical asset allocation is a flexible investment strategy that involves adjusting the allocation of assets based on current market conditions. Tactical asset allocation aims to take advantage of short-term market opportunities while still adhering to an investor's long-term investment objectives.

There are three primary approaches to tactical asset allocation: top-down, bottom-up, and combination. The top-down approach involves analyzing macroeconomic indicators such as interest rates, inflation, and economic growth to identify potential opportunities in different asset classes.

The bottom-up investment approach involves analyzing individual stocks or bonds to identify undervalued assets. The combination approach combines both top-down and bottom-up analysis to identify opportunities in both macroeconomic trends and individual assets.

Tactical asset allocation requires frequent adjustments to the investment portfolio. This can be done by adding or removing assets based on changes in market conditions. The approach requires active management of the investment by portfolio managers and a thorough understanding of market trends and indicators.

One advantage of tactical asset allocation is the ability to take advantage of short-term market opportunities. The flexibility to adjust the investment portfolio based on current market conditions can result in potentially higher returns than a purely strategic asset allocation strategy. However, tactical asset allocation can be risky if market conditions change quickly, and frequent adjustments to the investment and portfolio management can result in higher transaction costs.

Top-Down Approach

The top-down approach involves analyzing macroeconomic indicators to identify potential opportunities in different asset classes. For instance, if the economy is growing, there may be potential opportunities in stocks. In contrast, if interest rates are rising, bonds may be a more attractive investment option.

Bottom-Up Approach

The bottom-up approach involves analyzing individual stocks or bonds to identify undervalued assets. This approach requires a deep understanding of the companies or assets being analyzed and the factors that may impact their past performance together. By focusing on individual assets, investors can identify opportunities that may not be apparent through a top-down analysis.

Combination Approach

The combination approach combines both top-down and bottom-up analysis to identify opportunities in the market, timing both macroeconomic trends and individual assets. This approach requires a holistic understanding of the market and the ability to identify trends and opportunities across different asset classes.

Factors that Influence Tactical Asset Allocation

Market Conditions

Market conditions refer to the current state of the financial markets. The financial markets are affected by various factors, such as supply and demand, investor sentiment, and global events. Tactical or asset class allocation strategies involve shifting assets to take advantage of market conditions. For instance, if the stock market is in a bull market, an investor may allocate more assets to stocks to capture the market upside. Similarly, in a bear market, investors may reduce their exposure to stocks and allocate more assets to other asset classes, such as bonds and cash.

Market conditions are unpredictable, and investors need to be vigilant and adaptable to make the most of the opportunities presented by changing market conditions. To stay updated with market conditions, investors can use various tools such as technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic analysis.

Economic Conditions

Economic conditions refer to the state of the economy, such as inflation, interest rates, and economic growth. The state of the economy can have a significant impact on the financial markets. Tactical asset allocation strategies involve shifting assets to take advantage of economic conditions. For instance, if interest rates are expected to rise, an investor may allocate more assets to bonds to benefit from higher yields.

Economic conditions in bond markets are influenced by various factors such as government policies, global events, and technological advancements. Investors need to stay updated with economic indicators such as gross domestic product (GDP), inflation rate, and the unemployment rate to make informed investment decisions.

Political Conditions

Political conditions refer to the state of politics, such as changes in government policies or regulations. Political conditions can have a significant impact on the financial markets. Tactical asset allocation strategies involve shifting assets to take advantage of political conditions. For instance, if a new government introduces policies that are favorable to a particular industry, an investor may allocate more assets to that industry to capture the potential upside.

Political conditions are unpredictable, and investors need to stay updated with political developments that may impact the financial markets. Investors can use various sources such as news, government publications, investment advice, and industry reports to stay updated with political conditions.

In addition to these factors, investors need to consider their investment objectives, risk tolerance investment style, and time horizon when implementing a tactical asset allocation strategy. Tactical asset allocation requires active management of the investment portfolio, and investors must have a thorough understanding of market trends and indicators.

Portfolio Diversification and Risk Management

Portfolio diversification and risk management are critical components of implementing a successful tactical asset allocation strategy. Diversification involves investing in different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, and cash. Diversification can help reduce risk by spreading investments across different assets.

Risk management involves taking steps to minimize potential losses. One way to manage risk is to set stop-loss orders, which automatically sell securities when they reach a certain price. Another way to manage risk is to allocate assets based on the investor's risk tolerance. For instance, investors with a lower risk tolerance may allocate more assets to bonds, while investors with a higher risk tolerance may allocate more assets to stocks.

In conclusion, tactical asset allocation is a dynamic investment strategy that involves adjusting the allocation of assets based on current market conditions. Investors need to stay updated with various factors that influence tactical asset allocation, such as market conditions, economic conditions, and political conditions. Portfolio diversification and risk management are critical components of implementing a successful tactical asset allocation strategy.

Tactical Asset Allocation for Different Investment Instruments

Tactical asset allocation is a flexible investment strategy that involves adjusting the allocation of assets based on current market conditions. Tactical asset allocation can be applied to different investment instruments such as stocks, bonds, mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and real estate investment trusts (REITs). Let's explore how tactical asset allocation can be applied to different investment instruments.

A. Stocks

Stocks are one of the most popular investment instruments for long-term investors. Tactical asset allocation can help investors take advantage of market opportunities while managing risk. The tactical asset allocation taa amount of assets in stocks can be adjusted based on market conditions. For instance, in a bullish market, investors can allocate more assets to growth stocks, while in a bearish market, investors may reduce their exposure to stocks.

According to a study conducted by MSCI, tactical asset allocation can add value to equity portfolios. The study found that a tactical allocation approach can add up to 1.29% to the annualized return of a portfolio over a strategic allocation approach.

B. Bonds

Bonds are popular investment instruments for investors seeking stable income and capital preservation. Tactical asset allocation can be applied to bonds by adjusting the portfolio manager and allocation of assets based on interest rate changes. When interest rates are expected to rise, investors can allocate more assets to short-term bonds, which are less sensitive to interest rate changes.

According to a study conducted by Vanguard, tactical asset allocation can add value to bond portfolios. The study found that a tactical allocation approach can add up to 0.63% to the annualized return of a portfolio over a strategic allocation approach.

C. Mutual Funds

Mutual funds are investment vehicles that pool money from investors to invest in a diversified portfolio of securities. Tactical asset allocation can be applied to mutual funds by adjusting the allocation of assets based on market conditions. For instance, when the stock market is expected to perform well, investors can allocate more assets to equity mutual funds, while when the bond market is expected to perform well, investors can allocate more assets to bond mutual funds.

> According to a study conducted by Morningstar, tactical asset allocation can add value to mutual fund portfolios. The study found that a tactical allocation approach can add up to 1.24% to the annualized return of a portfolio over a strategic allocation approach.

E. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)

REITs are investment instruments that invest in income-generating real estate properties. Tactical asset allocation can be applied to REITs by adjusting the allocation of assets based on real estate market conditions. For instance, when the real estate market is expected to perform well, investors can allocate more assets to REITs.

According to a study conducted by NAREIT, tactical asset allocation can add value to REIT portfolios. The study found that a tactical allocation approach can add up to 3.4% to the annualized return of a portfolio over a strategic allocation approach.

In conclusion

Tactical asset allocation is a flexible investment strategy that involves adjusting the allocation of assets based on current market conditions. The approach requires active management of the investment portfolio's allocations and a thorough understanding of market trends and indicators.

Factors that influence tactical asset allocation include market conditions, economic conditions, and political conditions. Portfolio diversification and risk management are critical components of implementing a successful tactical asset allocation strategy.

However, investors must carefully evaluate the costs and benefits of implementing a tactical asset allocation strategy before making investment decisions. With proper planning and execution by investment managers, tactical asset allocation can be an effective investment strategy to achieve long-term investment goals.

Nervous About the Market
Lyons Tactical Allocation Portfolio

A Different Approach to Tactical Investing


Not All Market Declines are Equal

On average, the deeper the market decline, the longer it takes to recover. The market frequently endures small declines that are brief and quickly retrace to breakeven.

Sustained Declines Matter Most

We observe that 5-10% pullbacks, and double-digit corrections, occur frequently during bull markets. Most recently, five corrections of at least 10% have occurred during the 2nd longest bull market in history that began in March 2009.

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Download the LTAP E-Book:

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